Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 86.275375 96.323984 106.545255 117.689455 129.467653 141.517398 154.748436
2025-09-21 69.727862 84.178268 99.489721 116.796711 135.696938 155.602474 178.045685
2025-09-28 58.417316 75.080585 93.306793 114.464902 138.111366 163.511373 192.650800
2025-10-05 53.625114 72.452431 93.562226 118.562439 146.975654 177.923341 213.854166
2025-10-12 48.931686 69.345505 92.771700 121.022673 153.609861 189.533033 231.665761
2025-10-19 43.315413 64.609088 89.647883 120.405398 156.409261 196.565292 244.121612
2025-10-26 38.482076 60.401577 86.796601 119.790053 158.938580 203.066053 255.779424
2025-11-02 34.894173 57.450167 85.211604 120.456538 162.774227 210.908369 268.830058
2025-11-09 31.006448 53.797262 82.514615 119.569839 164.602686 216.294805 278.951873
2025-11-16 28.006320 51.082923 80.805638 119.727368 167.540246 222.863978 290.346466
2025-11-23 24.797449 47.826148 78.207303 118.618662 168.820705 227.387401 299.283522
2025-11-30 22.923917 46.302809 77.751819 120.103485 173.174824 235.478771 312.333968
2025-12-07 21.270358 45.006385 77.555144 121.913150 177.958954 244.143875 326.155576
2025-12-14 18.810803 42.309958 75.340607 121.032544 179.353335 248.720935 335.145640
2025-12-21 16.108287 38.985340 72.083326 118.647977 178.755699 250.811795 341.116569
2025-12-28 15.685951 39.268725 73.835633 122.830101 186.384200 262.828962 358.874857
2026-01-04 14.800605 38.713122 74.352029 125.339911 191.882511 272.255330 373.548306
2026-01-11 13.100791 36.630115 72.577900 124.710228 193.340495 276.725233 382.271800
2026-01-18 11.556734 34.660385 70.864744 124.082461 194.739910 281.078924 390.821951
2026-01-25 10.472669 33.411361 70.148699 124.762395 197.782723 287.425100 401.752617
2026-02-01 9.115353 31.496480 68.334576 123.857796 198.722071 291.138987 409.477427
2026-02-08 8.112875 30.154491 67.324875 124.018509 201.009505 296.495765 419.173598
2026-02-15 6.943647 28.314682 65.445434 122.887352 201.552699 299.646074 426.161104